Mosta vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SIR
2 - 0
MOS
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MOS
5 - 2
TAR
66%
19%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
MOS
1 - 0
GUD
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
GZI
3 - 1
MOS
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
RAB
0 - 7
MOS
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 1
SEN
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FLO
0 - 1
BIR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
BIR
2 - 0
SIR
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SLI
2 - 1
BIR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BIR
1 - 0
NAD
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |