Mossley vs Trafford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
RAD
0 - 2
MOS
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
CON
0 - 4
MOS
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
MOS
1 - 2
STA
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
OSS
0 - 2
MOS
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MOS
4 - 1
CLI
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 2
BRI
51%
21%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 2
ALT
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
TRA
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
RAM
1 - 2
TRA
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 4
BLY
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -2 |