Mossley vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 1
MOS
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
DUR
4 - 2
MOS
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CLI
1 - 1
MOS
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WIT
2 - 1
MOS
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MOS
1 - 2
FAR
21%
23%
56%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GAR
5 - 1
HAR
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
RAD
2 - 2
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 2
SKE
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
5 - 1
HAR
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FYL
7 - 0
HAR
73%
16%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |