Mossley vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 4
MOS
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MOS
1 - 1
WAR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
MOS
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
RAD
0 - 4
MOS
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
MOS
3 - 2
CLI
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 3
FYL
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 4
SKE
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
BAM
2 - 3
HAR
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
CAM
4 - 8
HAR
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 2
TRA
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |