Mossley vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 2
SCA
36%
25%
39%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 2
FAR
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CLI
2 - 1
MOS
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GOO
1 - 1
MOS
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MOS
2 - 1
CLI
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
COL
6 - 0
BUR
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
COL
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
OSS
1 - 0
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
DRO
2 - 4
COL
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
LAN
15%
21%
63%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +4 |