Mossley vs Clitheroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
HAL
4 - 2
MOS
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
MOS
5 - 0
WAR
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
PRE
0 - 0
MOS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 1
PRE
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
MOS
3 - 3
HAL
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Clitheroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
ROU
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 3
CLI
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LEG
2 - 0
CLI
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
RAD
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
2 - 1
CLI
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |