Moss vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
73.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
MOS
2 - 0
ORN
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
SJE
0 - 8
MOS
23%
22%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MOS
3 - 0
OST
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
MOS
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MOS
3 - 2
SJE
69%
18%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
S08
2 - 0
VIF
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
LSK
1 - 2
S08
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
S08
1 - 1
TRO
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
S08
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
S08
1 - 2
RBK
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |