Moss vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 1
STB
8%
13%
80%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MJO
2 - 1
MOS
18%
20%
62%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 2
FFK
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
MOS
4 - 0
KRA
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOS
39%
23%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
HAM
4 - 0
HON
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
HON
0 - 2
ASK
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 1
HON
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FFL
0 - 2
HON
26%
22%
53%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
HON
1 - 2
GRO
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |