Moss vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
NOT
2 - 2
MOS
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MOS
1 - 1
SOG
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
KON
0 - 3
MOS
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
HOD
1 - 5
MOS
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MOS
2 - 4
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
HON
1 - 1
HAU
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BRY
0 - 2
HON
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
HON
6 - 1
NYB
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
IKS
3 - 0
HON
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
HON
1 - 3
LOV
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -2 |