Moss vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
MAN
5 - 1
MOS
46%
24%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
MOS
1 - 1
FFK
35%
25%
41%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
MOS
0 - 1
IKS
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
POR
2 - 4
MOS
36%
25%
40%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
MOS
2 - 4
BRY
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
LSK
2 - 0
HON
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
IKS
2 - 0
HON
51%
23%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
HON
3 - 1
BRY
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SDF
1 - 1
HON
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
HON
2 - 1
VAR
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |