Moss vs Bryne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
VIF
2 - 2
MOS
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
MOS
1 - 6
BOG
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
TRO
3 - 0
MOS
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
MOS
4 - 0
IKS
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2000 |
LYN
0 - 3
MOS
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bryne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
BRY
1 - 0
HAU
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2000 |
BRY
1 - 0
VIF
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
BOG
1 - 1
BRY
72%
16%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
BRY
2 - 3
TRO
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
IKS
4 - 2
BRY
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |