Moss vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 2
MOS
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 5
MOS
30%
21%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
SEN
0 - 0
MOS
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MOS
2 - 5
VAL
33%
23%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ALT
3 - 1
MOS
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
HOD
33%
23%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
EID
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 2
KON
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 3
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |