New Zealand National League South Round 5

Mosgiel vs Roslyn Wakari analysis

Mosgiel Roslyn Wakari
35 ELO 28
6.7% Tilt 9.1%
14453º General ELO ranking 11143º
51º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
71%
Mosgiel
15.7%
Draw
13.3%
Roslyn Wakari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
Mosgiel
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
13.3%
Win probability
Roslyn Wakari
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mosgiel
-68%
-19%
Roslyn Wakari

ELO progression

Mosgiel
Roslyn Wakari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mosgiel
Mosgiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
QUE
Queenstown Rovers
1 - 1
Mosgiel
MOS
34%
21%
45%
36 30 6 0
03 Apr. 2021
MOS
Mosgiel
3 - 3
Green Island
GIA
44%
21%
35%
36 38 2 0
27 Mar. 2021
OTU
Otago University
3 - 1
Mosgiel
MOS
48%
21%
31%
37 38 1 -1
20 Mar. 2021
WNK
Wanaka
1 - 1
Mosgiel
MOS
22%
19%
59%
38 28 10 -1
26 Sep. 2020
GIA
Green Island
1 - 1
Mosgiel
MOS
53%
20%
27%
37 39 2 +1

Matches

Roslyn Wakari
Roslyn Wakari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
ROW
Roslyn Wakari
2 - 1
Northern AFC
NAF
91%
7%
3%
28 10 18 0
03 Apr. 2021
ROW
Roslyn Wakari
1 - 3
Dunedin
DUN
70%
16%
14%
29 22 7 -1
27 Mar. 2021
QUE
Queenstown Rovers
2 - 3
Roslyn Wakari
ROW
60%
19%
21%
28 31 3 +1
20 Mar. 2021
ROW
Roslyn Wakari
2 - 2
Green Island
GIA
21%
20%
59%
28 39 11 0
19 Sep. 2020
ROW
Roslyn Wakari
4 - 0
Northern AFC
NAF
93%
5%
2%
27 7 20 +1