Mosgiel vs Northern AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosgiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ROW
3 - 2
MOS
22%
19%
59%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
SCR
2 - 1
MOS
41%
21%
38%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MOS
5 - 0
QUE
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 4
MOS
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MOS
7 - 1
OTU
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
NAF
0 - 1
MEL
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 1
NAF
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
SCR
12 - 0
NAF
84%
10%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
NAF
2 - 5
GIA
18%
18%
65%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NAF
1 - 5
ROW
39%
22%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |