Mosconia vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
TIN
2 - 2
MOS
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 1
PRA
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 1
MOS
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
MOS
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 2
MAR
17%
24%
58%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
6 - 1
TIN
74%
18%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
SPB
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 2
MAR
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
LLA
59%
23%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |