Moron vs CD Montalbeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ATC
1 - 0
UDM
33%
25%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UDM
3 - 1
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LCF
3 - 2
UDM
65%
20%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 3
CDL
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDM
1 - 1
CDA
40%
25%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Montalbeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ADS
3 - 1
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
ROC
11%
21%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
MAI
9%
21%
70%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +1 |