Moron vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
24.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
UDM
4 - 4
PSE
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ARC
2 - 1
UDM
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
UDM
2 - 1
BAL
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
UTR
2 - 2
UDM
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
JER
1 - 1
OVA
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
JER
1 - 0
POR
66%
18%
17%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ARC
3 - 2
JER
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
JER
0 - 0
REC
71%
16%
14%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |