Morön vs Assi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
44.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morön
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
STR
2 - 1
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 2
RIK
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PIT
4 - 0
MOR
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
THO
58%
21%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
4 - 1
MOR
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Assi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
ASI
1 - 1
HUD
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ASI
1 - 0
STR
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
RIK
0 - 2
ASI
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ASI
4 - 2
SEL
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +5 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
THO
1 - 1
ASI
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |