Mornar vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PET
4 - 2
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 0
BOK
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
BOK
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FKA
4 - 0
MOR
41%
27%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
JED
0 - 2
MOR
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BOK
1 - 0
OUL
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
OUL
0 - 2
FKA
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SUT
0 - 0
OUL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
OUL
0 - 1
IKD
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OUL
0 - 3
BUD
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |