Mormont vs Warnant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TIL
4 - 1
MOR
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 0
AYW
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HUY
1 - 0
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
CLI
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RES
2 - 1
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Warnant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 1
VER
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
HER
0 - 1
WAR
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
WAR
2 - 2
LON
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AIS
2 - 0
WAR
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TIL
3 - 1
WAR
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |