Mormont vs Herstal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mormont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
EYN
2 - 2
MOR
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
6 - 2
GIV
82%
12%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
HBN
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MEI
0 - 2
MOR
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 0
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Herstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 2
EYN
46%
21%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HBN
3 - 0
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
WAC
76%
13%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HER
4 - 2
LIB
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HER
2 - 6
MEI
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |