Morella vs Traiguera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 4
MOR
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
ORP
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 0
MOR
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PED
0 - 0
MOR
68%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
BEN
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Traiguera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 2
BEN
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
TRA
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
ALC
41%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
TRA
14%
19%
68%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
IBA
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |