Morell vs Vilaseca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
IGU
3 - 0
MOR
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
REU
6%
14%
80%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LLB
4 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
CEE
7%
14%
79%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CFV
0 - 3
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Vilaseca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
ALP
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SUB
2 - 3
VIL
39%
22%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
RUB
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RAP
1 - 1
VIL
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
UDV
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |