Morell vs Sarrià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PRT
2 - 0
MOR
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
MAR
22%
24%
55%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
MOR
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 0
CAN
11%
17%
73%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sarrià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
GOR
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 5
CEE
28%
22%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SJU
3 - 1
SAR
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
CFV
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
TTE
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |