Morell vs Llorenç analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SSA
1 - 4
MOR
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
RIE
64%
20%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CFB
0 - 1
MOR
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
CON
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
RBA
1 - 2
MOR
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Llorenç
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LLO
1 - 1
NSA
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 0
LLO
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LLO
4 - 1
JBC
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAL
5 - 1
LLO
14%
17%
70%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SSA
1 - 3
LLO
29%
22%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |