CA Morelia vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 2
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 0
PAC
40%
25%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
4 - 1
ATS
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ATS
4 - 1
NEC
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
ATS
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 0
EST
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |