CA Morelia vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TIG
3 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 2
VER
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 2
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MOR
4 - 1
PAC
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CAZ
0 - 1
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 4
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MON
3 - 0
CAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
PUE
3 - 1
CAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 2
CAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |