Moreirense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SCP
3 - 1
MOR
69%
19%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
SPB
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
MOR
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 0
PAÇ
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
MOR
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 2
NAC
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
FCP
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 0
COV
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | +1 |