Moreirense vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
PAÇ
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
FAM
3 - 1
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 2
MOR
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
EST
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
ARO
41%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARO
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 2
MOR
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VST
2 - 1
ARO
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |