Morecambe vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
BBU
1 - 2
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
IPS
2 - 2
MOR
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
BPO
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 0
MOR
11%
18%
71%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
WOR
1 - 5
MOR
10%
18%
72%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
STF
2 - 2
LIN
27%
25%
49%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
STF
0 - 1
BUR
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 2
STF
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
STF
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 3
STF
14%
21%
65%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | +1 |