Morecambe vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
OPA
3 - 3
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
WYC
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
STA
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 1
SHE
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ASV
5 - 3
NOT
79%
16%
5%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 1
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
OXF
3 - 1
NOT
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 2
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 2
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |