Morecambe vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 0
ROC
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 2
MOR
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
BRO
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 0
GIL
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 1
PLY
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 1
GIL
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
GIL
0 - 1
OXF
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
GIL
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |