Morecambe vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TOW
1 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 2
MOR
51%
20%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 5
CHE
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 3
MKD
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 1
CUM
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 2
WIG
11%
18%
71%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 1
CHE
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
CUM
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CUM
1 - 1
TOW
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |