Mordovia Saransk vs Chertanovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
NEF
1 - 0
MOR
18%
21%
62%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TAM
2 - 2
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TYU
1 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
SIB
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SKA
2 - 1
MOR
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chertanovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
LUK
0 - 0
CHE
10%
15%
75%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
SKA
24%
28%
49%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FCK
3 - 1
CHE
45%
24%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 1
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |