Mordovia Saransk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ZEN
1 - 1
MOR
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
NEF
0 - 1
MOR
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 0
ANG
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
UFA
3 - 0
MOR
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
MOR
4 - 0
KHI
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NAL
1 - 2
ALA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 0
ARS
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 0
ALA
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ALA
2 - 1
ROT
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 1
ALA
36%
28%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |