Morava Vladicin Han vs Timok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morava Vladicin Han
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
JED
2 - 0
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 2
DVR
13%
20%
67%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MOR
0 - 1
CAR
24%
23%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
RAD
2 - 1
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
MOR
0 - 1
SLO
28%
24%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Timok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
TIM
3 - 0
RAD
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
SLO
0 - 0
TIM
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
TIM
5 - 1
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
JED
1 - 0
TIM
41%
24%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
TIM
3 - 0
RAD
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |