Moratalaz vs Brunete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOR
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TRJ
4 - 3
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GPE
1 - 2
MOR
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 1
CDV
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brunete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BRU
3 - 4
ALC
28%
25%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
BRU
3 - 2
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SFN
1 - 1
BRU
68%
20%
12%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
BRU
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
BRU
2 - 2
RSD
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |