Moratalaz vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
EFC
1 - 4
MOR
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
CDS
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
BPI
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
ATM
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 0
SIE
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ATM
0 - 3
ARA
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 1
CAL
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAG
2 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
COL
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |