Moraña vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+206%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 0
MOR
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 2
MOS
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOR
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
ADR
3 - 1
MOR
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
FIG
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 2
SAM
30%
25%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAR
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 1
CUN
62%
20%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALA
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CRU
4 - 2
CAL
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |