Moralzarzal vs Alpedrete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralzarzal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
MZZ
7 - 1
ATC
57%
20%
24%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LRO
1 - 1
MZZ
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MZZ
1 - 0
EES
27%
22%
51%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MZZ
0 - 2
QUI
28%
22%
50%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
4 - 1
MZZ
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alpedrete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ALP
1 - 1
LDC
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ALP
6 - 1
TCF
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HMA
1 - 5
ALP
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ALP
6 - 0
LRO
64%
18%
19%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALP
0 - 1
ELE
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |