Moralo vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
MAL
5 - 0
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 1
ALG
36%
30%
34%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
BET
3 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 0
CAD
35%
29%
36%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
JER
0 - 1
MOR
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
RJA
3 - 1
TOR
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
MOT
0 - 4
RJA
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 3
AGD
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 2
RJA
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |