Moralo vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
MON
0 - 4
MOR
17%
22%
61%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
AMA
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
MOR
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
5 - 1
EMD
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 1
MOR
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
CAS
59%
23%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COR
5 - 0
OLI
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 1
CAL
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
EXT
2 - 2
OLI
47%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 2
CPC
10%
19%
72%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |