Moralo vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
13º
3º
31
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 1
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
MOR
16%
22%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
JER
62%
22%
17%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDF
2 - 3
MOR
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
MIA
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 1
MON
55%
23%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
TRU
14%
22%
64%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 0
MON
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
AZU
22%
25%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ADL
5 - 0
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |