Moralo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
53.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
SNV
2 - 1
MOR
39%
27%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 1
CAS
62%
23%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
DBN
4 - 0
MOR
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 2
IMP
27%
29%
44%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CPC
4 - 0
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
JER
1 - 0
SAM
59%
26%
15%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
JER
3 - 1
SNV
62%
24%
14%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
JER
16%
25%
59%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
JER
0 - 0
DBN
32%
29%
39%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
IMP
1 - 1
JER
37%
28%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |