Moralo vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MER
1 - 2
MOR
61%
24%
15%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
MOR
2 - 0
SPV
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 1
MOR
26%
28%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
4 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 0
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
AMA
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ARR
1 - 3
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
EST
2 - 1
SAM
33%
29%
38%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 1
EST
70%
19%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EST
0 - 0
IMP
28%
26%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |