Moraleja vs Brocense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ARR
4 - 1
MOR
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 2
HER
31%
24%
46%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
COR
3 - 0
MOR
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
CIU
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 1
MOR
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brocense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 2
SAM
24%
24%
52%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TRU
2 - 0
BRO
82%
13%
6%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 0
ZUR
23%
23%
55%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
5 - 0
BRO
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 4
MON
13%
21%
66%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |