Montrose vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
KIL
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 4
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MON
4 - 3
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
STE
3 - 0
FRA
18%
20%
62%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
STE
1 - 2
PAR
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
STE
0 - 1
GRE
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
STE
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 0
STE
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |