Montrose vs Alloa Athletic analysis


56	ELO	56
3.7%	Tilt	5.9%
3553º	General ELO ranking	2384º
41º	Country ELO ranking	26º
ELO win probability

43.9%

Montrose

24.6%

Draw

31.5%

Alloa Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

43.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%

24.6%

Draw

0-0

5.6%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

5.9%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.6%

31.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-13%

+9%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

7º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

48

3º

7º

58

3º

8º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

3º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	79	79	1º	100%
2º	64	65	2º	100%
4º	57	58	3º	47.5%
3º	58	58	4º	47.5%
5º	51	52	5º	41.5%
6º	51	52	6º	34%
7º	48	51	7º	63.5%
8º	40	41	8º	100%
9º	21	21	9º	100%
10º	16	17	10º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	100%
Mid-table	100%	0%
Relegation play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montrose

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Nov. 2022	MON 2 - 5 DFC 85% 11% 5%	57	29	28	0
19 Nov. 2022	QOS 4 - 0 MON 37% 25% 38%	58	55	3	-1
12 Nov. 2022	KHE 1 - 3 MON 39% 26% 35%	58	56	2	0
05 Nov. 2022	MON 3 - 0 PET 73% 17% 10%	57	41	16	+1
29 Oct. 2022	AIR 4 - 0 MON 43% 26% 31%	59	58	1	-2

Matches

Alloa Athletic

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 Nov. 2022	BFC 1 - 2 ALL 10% 15% 76%	56	39	17	0
19 Nov. 2022	EDI 4 - 3 ALL 35% 26% 40%	57	53	4	-1
12 Nov. 2022	ALL 5 - 1 QOS 44% 24% 32%	56	56	0	+1
05 Nov. 2022	KHE 1 - 1 ALL 43% 25% 32%	56	56	0	0
29 Oct. 2022	ALL 2 - 1 CLY 70% 19% 11%	56	46	10	0