CONCACAF Champions Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
CF Montréal vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 2
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
DCU
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
RBN
1 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
NER
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TIJ
3 - 2
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 2
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 1
LEO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ATS
1 - 3
PAC
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |