Montpellier U19 vs Marignane Gignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
5º
4º
17
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
92.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
AJA
0 - 4
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MON
1 - 2
ETI
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ROD
1 - 4
MON
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
OLY
3 - 1
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 3
TOU
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MGG
0 - 0
ABE
30%
22%
49%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MON
8 - 0
MGG
81%
12%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AJA
3 - 0
MGG
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MGG
0 - 2
ETI
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ROD
0 - 0
MGG
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |